At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (525) and the Golden State Warriors (526). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (7-8) has won three of their last four games after their 109-108 upset win at Sacramento as a 3.5-point underdog on Monday. Golden State (10-3) had won three games in a row before their 102-99 upset loss in Los Angeles against the Clippers on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors defense has taken a step back lately. They have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which has resulted in 117.8 Points-Per-Game — that is +3.3% and and +7.7 PPG above their season defensive averages. Their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 107.3 ranks 15th in the NBA in their last five games which is a big drop off from their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 107.3 for the season which is the fourth-best mark in the league. But Golden State ranks fifth in the NBA with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 116.7. And with head coach Steve Kerr using his entire bench this season, the Warriors are pushing the pace and rank fifth in the league by averaging 101.76 possessions per game. It is telling that Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games at home Over the Total after an upset loss. The fast pace they are engaging in has played a big role in their playing 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total this month. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total when laying 6.5 to 12 points. They have also played 10 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. The Hawks are shooting 46.7% from the field — and Golden State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are making at least 46% of their shots. Atlanta is getting healthier as they have Bogdan Bogdanovic and Kobe Bufkin back from injury — and those additions should help their offensive output moving forward. The Hawks have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a win by six points or less including all four of those circumstances this season. This will be their third game on the road since last Friday — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total when it is their third game in five days. Atlanta plays at the third-fastest pace in the league with 103.57 average possessions per contest. They also rank just 22nd in the NBA with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 115.6. The Hawks have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, they have played 32 of their last 51 games Over the Total as an underdog including six overs in their eight games as a dog this season.

FINAL TAKE: The Warriors are outscoring their opponents by +9.4 PPG — and Atlanta has played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +3.0 or more PPG. Golden State has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams winning 40-49% of their games. With both of these teams playing at a fast pace, expect a high-scoring game. 10* NBA Wednesday Night O/U Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (525) and the Golden State Warriors (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.